Published May 10, 2023

The Impact of Inflation on Mortgage Rates

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Written by Lisa Taylor

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If you've been following news about inflation or mortgage rates, you may have heard about the latest decision by the Federal Reserve (the Fed). But how does it affect you, the housing market, and your plans to buy a home? Here's what you should know.


Inflation and the Housing Market The Fed has been working hard to reduce inflation, but the latest data shows that the inflation rate is still higher than the target (2%). This led to the Fed's decision to increase the Federal Funds Rate recently. Although the Fed's actions do not directly determine what happens with mortgage rates, they do have an impact and contributed to the planned cooling of the housing market last year.

How This Affects You During times of high inflation, your daily expenses increase, affecting your purchasing power. However, the Fed is actively attempting to reduce inflation by raising the Federal Funds Rate. If they are successful, it could eventually lead to lower mortgage rates and better home affordability for you. When inflation is high, mortgage rates tend to be high as well. But as inflation slows down, experts predict that mortgage rates will drop.


What Experts Predict for Mortgage Rates and Inflation Inflation and mortgage rates will continue to influence the housing market in the future. According to Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), "Mortgage rates are likely to descend lower later in the year as the consumer price inflation calms down." Mike Fratantoni, Chief Economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), also believes that mortgage rates will decrease as the economy slows down. Although it's impossible to predict where mortgage rates will go from here, experts believe that they will continue to trend downward if inflation subsides. Stay informed about the latest news by connecting with a trusted real estate professional who can provide insights on the current housing market and how it affects your plans for homeownership.

Bottom Line Don't be confused by headlines about the latest decision by the Fed. Where mortgage rates go from here depends on the status of inflation. If inflation decreases, mortgage rates will likely follow suit. Work with a reputable real estate professional who can keep you informed about housing market changes and what they mean for you.

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